44 links · newest first
This AIMultiple research report analyzes 8,590 predictions about when artificial general intelligence or the singularity might occur, drawing on expert surveys, prediction markets, and academic papers. It compares timelines from AI researchers, entrepreneurs, and Metaculus forecasters, with many es…
Visit originalThis LessWrong post argues that large language models can generalize beyond their training data, produce novel outputs, and perform causal or counterfactual reasoning without human-like 'understanding.' It uses analogies like linear regression, calculators, and self-driving cars to argue that obser…
Visit originalThis Business Insider article discusses Google Brain founder Andrew Ng’s view that artificial general intelligence is overhyped. The page’s description says Ng argues humans will still have work to do even as AI advances. It is a news article by Shubhangi Goel published in July 2025.
Visit originalOpenAI CEO Sam Altman and CPO Kevin Weil answered student questions at the University of Tokyo, comparing competing with AI to trying to 'beat a calculator' at arithmetic. They said humans will no longer be able to compete with AI in areas like mathematics, programming, or physics, but will instead…
Visit original